Saturday, August 05, 2023

Bidenomics: Far Less Than It's Cracked Up To Be

Veep "Deep Throat" Harris brags about Bidenomics.  Others wonder how much she has to brag about.

While the prevailing post-payrolls narrative has focused on the divergence between the soggy headline payrolls print (which at 187K not only missed expectations for a second consecutive month, but was the lowest number since Dec 2020), and the stronger than expected hourly earnings (which beat expectations only because hours worked dropped again to 34.3, a level last seen in the pre-covid days) and the drop in unemployment rate (which brings us even further from the Fed's year-end dot plot target of 4.1%, a closer look at the details of today's jobs report reveals just how ugly the reality behind the the Budget-Busting Bidenomics truly is....

In the "revisions" category, there's this:

 

...Payrolls for every month in 2023 have been revised lower....

Then there's the "new business-created jobs" thing:

...In other words, most if not all job "gains" were as a result of the BLS assuming that newly "birthed" "businesses created at least 280K new jobs, a number which is not based at all on observable facts but is a regression to some historical trendline which only the BLS is privy to.
Oh, but there's MORE!!

...one look at this month's adjustment and it's literally a shocker: you will not hear anyone from the Biden admin or associated economist cheerleaders mention this, but the BLS reported that in July the number of full-time jobs plunged by 585,000 to 134.274 million,...

Wait..........what???  You thought jobs were up, right?

Well, they are........counting part-time/side-hustles.

...how did the BLS get an increase of almost 300,000 employed workers? Simple: it was all in the surge of part-time workers. In July, the number of part-timers exploded by almost one million - 972K to be precise ...

People get side-hustles because the main hustle isn't paying enough to meet the spending--or because they don't have a main hustle and they need cash.  Think inflation has something to do with that?

...going back to a quantitative read of the data, we look at the number of multiple jobholders - those workers who have to work more than one job at a time to make ends meet. In July, that number surged by 118K, and at 8.113 million was just shy of the pre-covid record hit in July 2019...

We'll leave the summary to the nation's real-news source, the Babylon Bee:

...White House Says Bidenomics So Successful The Average American Has Twice As Many Jobs As They Had Two Years Ago...

On the way to having nothing and liking it!


No comments: