Tuesday, June 04, 2024

Follow-Up to Kohl's Signal

We mentioned that Kohl's y/o/y sales numbers are down, and that Kohl's had served as a bellwether of the economy for a number of years.  

Seems that crude oil is echoing Kohl's:

Oil prices plunged to four-month lows (WTI with a $72 handle, Brent below $80), smashing through all key technical levels, as algos were shocked into full-send mode as OPEC+ unexpectedly signaled plans to return some supplies to the market later in the year....

The headline reason is that OPEC+ decided to pump more crude.  But then there's this:

... The move has added to the gloomy sentiment in pockets of the physical market around the world that are flashing signs of weakness....

and this:

 ...API reports across the board inventory builds - with a big rise in crude and gasoline stocks - adding pressure to crude prices...

Reduced demand creates inventory builds.  Just ask Kohl's.

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