Friday, November 18, 2022

"FAAFO, Zelenskiy!" Chapter Three

Russia is continuing to tighten the screws on Ukraine.

...The targeting of 330 kilovolt transformers in various switching stations has cut some 50% of the distribution capability of Ukraine's electricity network. These transformers weigh up to 200 tons. There are no replacements. You do not buy them at the next corner but will have order them with years of lead time. As far as I can tell Russia is currently Russia the only producer of transformers of that type....

Oh.  That's a problem.

There's a reason for that high-precision targeting, too.

... The lack of energy is degrading the railway network that brings weapons from the west to the eastern front. It makes redeployment of units from one front section to another very difficult and time consuming. It will give the Russian forces the advantage when they change the Schwerpunkt of their attacks from one corner of the frontline to another....

You think that Zelenskiy's Reichstag Fire (missile into Poland) was a random act?

Think again.  He knows he's losing fast.  And over the next 90 frigid days, he's going to lose even more:  popular support in Ukraine.

Then he'll have to flee to his Miami beachfront mansion.

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