Thursday, November 24, 2022

More Ukraine Analysis

We mentioned Meaning in History below.  Same guy, different topic.

(Following the fake-news of "Russia sending missiles into Poland" mess):

...Since then we’ve heard repeated complaints about Zelensky’s lies emanating from the collective West. Complaints that he’s out of control, isn’t a team player, is a risk for starting WW3, etc. While some in the West think replacing Zelensky is a way forward, I very much doubt that. You’d end up with one of two results: 1) Either the real Ukro-Nazis would gain more influence than they already have within the Ukrainian government, or 2) someone stronger and more pragmatic than Zelensky would take over. The first option would unquestionably increase the risk of escalation, and the second option would likely lead to Ukraine quickly opting for a modus vivendi with Russia that would place Ukraine firmly within the Russian sphere of influence—exactly what the war is supposed to prevent....

Whoops! 

And it gets worse!!

...Russia is preparing to take the gloves off—probably as soon as winter sets in. The US knows this, and is getting the jitters. The sanctions war was supposed to keep us out of exactly this dilemma, but that blew up in our faces and we’re left with nothing but hard military choices. As the Poland missile flap shows, the US military knows it cannot afford any further escalation. As a result we’ve seen fissures developing between the US military and the non-DoD national security establishment Neocons....

Recall that Milley is on the record asking for a sit-down between the Russkies and the Ukies.

The next 30-90 days will be very interesting, indeed.

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