Saturday, March 21, 2020

One = Nine Ventilators in Canada

Pretty good trick.

A Canadian doctor has rigged up a ventilator with do-it-yourself mechanics to treat nine patients instead of one.

Dr Alain Gauthier, an anesthetist at the Perth and Smiths Falls District Hospital in Ontario, has a PhD in respiratory mechanics  

According to CBC News, the physician got the idea after watching YouTube videos created by two Detroit doctors in 2006....

Dr. Fauci does not approve, of course.

Kenny Rogers Folds 'Em

Always liked this guy's work even though I don't especially like country music.

R I P, Kenny.

Fauci Making Perfect the Enemy of the Good?

Dr. Fauci, who likes him a lot of camera-time, is pulling back the reins on chloroquine, which had been described as an effective treatment of CoVID-19.  Apparently using the drug will be "off-label" which is a Big No-No in the FDA/CDC bureaucracy.

Besides, Fauci et.al. are working on prevention, not cures.  Right??  So let's prevent, no matter the cost to those who have the disease, right??

Wrong.
...the questions the media should ask Dr. Fauci include these: Do these drugs threaten serious side effects? Is there any way they can make it harder for coronavirus patients to recover? What advice does Fauci have for doctors who want at least to try to use them off-label? And if the patient appears near death and nothing else works, wouldn’t it be immoral not to try them?...
Mind you, the Examiner is a NeverTrump bunch (Kristol's S-I-L is the honcho there) but on this matter, they prefer Trump's approach:  if it can't hurt, then GO FOR IT!

Fauci needs some good, abrasive, questions now and then before he begins to think he's calling all the shots here.  He's not.

Friday, March 20, 2020

Fauci Doesn't Face Bankruptcy

Dr. Fauci, who loves him some camera-time, is a public servant.  He doesn't face personal or corporate bankruptcy due to actions of a Government.  So he has ONE perspective.

Ron Johnson, however, has just as legitimate a perspective:  the number of BKs which will occur due to premature or overly-zealous Government action is--perhaps--more than the USA has ever seen before. 

Yes, be cautious, and prudent.  And yes, if there is a town which shows signs of exploding CoV-19 infections, order a curfew.

But closing the USA over a POTENTIAL threat....?

By the way, Dr. Fauci, you should know that there is a REAL difference between the situation in N. Italy and the situation in the USA.  Get off-camera for long enough to read the news, please.

I Heartily and Emphatically Approve of This Opinion

An open blogger at AOSHQ essays on 'why Boomers don't really give a flying fart about THE END OF THE WORLD'.  So I copied ALL of the stuff instead of just SOME of his stuff.

...Although I’m a little too young to be considered a Boomer, I am over 50, and I’d be glad to explain why the over-50 demographic is not panicking in the fashion that our young, know-it-all journalists would like. It’s simple. We’ve been through a lifetime of media-hyped hysterias and apocalyptic predictions. If not complete hoaxes, they were falsely reported or over-hyped. Here are a few:
Overpopulation and Global Famine: This was promised not just globally, but domestically too. We were supposed to have run out of food and descended into global starvation a long time ago. All the experts agreed.
Day Care Center Child Molestations: This hysteria sent many innocent people to jail. Local and national media fanned the flames with accounts of “numbers growing daily” and videos of anguished parents. It was a fraud perpetrated by highly credentialed “experts” who believed that pretty much every child exposed to an adult had been molested. The children just needed help remembering it. Those of us who saw through the hysteria were muzzled, because to question the veracity of the hysteria invited accusations that you too were a child molester. It was like Salem in 1693. The bravest journalist I’ve ever read is the WSJ’s Dorothy Rabinowitz, for daring to unravel the terror and how it spread.

Killer Bees: We treat it as a joke now, but we were promised an invasion of swarming “Africanized” bees that would kill livestock and children. It was soon going to be unsafe to even go outside in the southern US without thick layers of protective clothing. All the experts agreed.

Killer Mold: Toxic mold in the ‘90s was kind of like radioactive waste, only deadlier. Or at least that’s what the media had us believing. The terror of discovering mold in schools was met with media alerts, school shutdowns, and local TV stations filming panicked parents as they picked up their crying children, just moments before the tikes were engulfed by the attacking mold.

Global Cooling: A “consensus of scientists” assured me this was real, and that its impact on agriculture would probably lead to my death by starvation.

Global Warming: According to “scientific” predictions from yet another “consensus of scientists,” the Arctic should now be ice free, snowfalls a thing of the past, and New York’s West Side Highway under water.

It goes on and on. Acid Rain. Peak Oil. Ozone. Alar Apples. Y2K.

Maybe the Wuhan Virus is finally “The Big One.” But after decades of the media fraudulently screaming “APOCALYPSE IS IMMINENT!!!” it is not irrational for Boomers to dismiss the latest hysteria. In Aesop’s fable about “The Boy Who Cried Wolf,” the moral of the story isn’t that the townsfolk should have believed the boy, the moral is that the boy shouldn’t have destroyed his credibility by falsely screaming wolf time and again.

He didn't mention Exploding Gas Tanks and Toyota's That Will Not Stop, but hey....it's a long list of Complete Bullshit Apocalypses.  Why print them all??

Mortality Compared

In the 22 weeks between 10/1/19 and 3/14/20...........

there have been ~41,000 deaths from the flu (A and B), or 1,863/week--266/day.

Since the Chinese launched a bio-war on the USA......

14,300 confirmed cases (as of today), 210 deaths.

Let's say that CoVid-19 began 1/1, so we are in Week 10.

That's 21 deaths/day of CoVid-19.

No doubt the CoVid-19 death-numbers will increase over the next several weeks.  Will they get to 266/day?  Will they get to 500/day?  1,000/day?

The greatest fear we have is fear itself.

The Other Chinese War Against the US

Ultra-sophisticated Bloggeurs who despise Trump but play the 'conservative' card are buying the "just a virus, not a weapon" line being pushed by some Brits.  Yes......as you recall, Brits were helping Obozo spy on Trump and also produced the BullshitDoc.  So Brits are utterly trustworthy.  Uh-huh.

Because Red China doesn't have an agenda, or nuttin'.

Sure.

In the real world....

China has called for using electromagnetic attacks on U.S. warships transiting the South China Sea, according to a state-run Chinese outlet.   ...The report followed China’s potentially dangerous use of a laser against a Navy P-8A maritime patrol aircraft near Guam last month,...Wa Standard quoting Wa Examiner
Because Red China doesn't have an agenda, or nuttin'.
 

WI ARNG "Postured" to Patrol State?

Interesting.  Heard about this yesterday while traveling.  Maggie Gau must be getting anxious.

The Wisconsin National Guard is posturing forces to ensure it is ready to respond to potential requests for assistance from other state agencies or communities if its assistance is requested. Approximately 300 troops have been mobilized to state active duty....
There's a picture of a train--location unknown--carrying what appears to be old 5/4T vehicles supposedly for use by the WI ARNG.

Not likely to add much "force".

...The Wisconsin National Guard consists of 10,000 Soldiers and Airmen from around the state...
Wonder if Tony Evers Maggie Gau will allow them to be armed........

Bice "Forgets" Democrat Feinstein While Smearing RoJo

Gotta hand it to Bice.  He can set up a smear nearly as well as the reporters at any Wausau newspaper, eh??

While Bice was smearing RoJo, however, he "forgot" that Diane Feinstein--a known tool of the Chinese Communists--ALSO dumped stocks after a confidential committee meeting on the China Virus.

...likened Johnson's sale of his Pacur investment to the decisions by Republican Sens. Richard Burr and Kelly Loeffler to dump stock before the market tanked. ...

Huh. 

"Arsenal"? Really??

Here we go again.

A U.S. airman assigned to Kirtland Air Force Base is in federal custody after military investigators searching his KAFB residence found a cache of 17 firearms, two silencers, large amounts of ammunition, bomb-making instructions and photos of rifle magazines with the names of mass shooters written on them....

The headline uses the term "arsenal."

Shucks.

Until it got to  "...bomb-making instructions and photos..." there was nothing to worry about.

The Remedy Was KNOWN FOR YEARS

Well, isn't this nice.

...It turns out that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has known since at least 2005 that chloroquine is effective against coronaviruses.

In 2005, Martin J Vincent et al published a study in Virology Journal titled ‘Chloroquine is a potent inhibitor of SARS coronavirus infection and spread.’...

There is some exceptionally good news here, too:

...chloroquine has strong antiviral effects on SARS-CoV infection of primate cells. These inhibitory effects are observed when the cells are treated with the drug either before or after exposure to the virus, suggesting both prophylactic and therapeutic advantage. In addition to the well-known functions of chloroquine such as elevations of endosomal pH, the drug appears to interfere with terminal glycosylation of the cellular receptor, angiotensin-converting enzyme 2. This may negatively influence the virus-receptor binding and abrogate the infection, with further ramifications by the elevation of vesicular pH, resulting in the inhibition of infection and spread of SARS CoV at clinically admissible concentrations....[Quoting the 2005 Vincent Report]
You may speculate as to the reason(s) for this.  Noteworthy:  the drug is NOT APPROVED for use in the USA by our intrepid FDA.  Good enough for Europeans, but........... Isn't that interesting?

Meantime, Bayer will donate 3 million doses to the US, no matter the objections from US Big Pharma.

Richard Burr, (R) Slimebucket

Senator Richard Burr (R-Greed) has always been a slimebucket.  Sundance wouldn't pee on him if he were on fire, and Sundance is a moderate kinda guy.

So when we find that Burr got a confidential brief on the Wuhan Flu and dumped his stock portfolio (LONG before you or I knew about the situation.........and before the markets went to Hell), well, we're not surprised.

There are probably more just like him.

UPDATE:  Yes, indeed, there ARE more just like him!!

 Diane Feinstein (a tool of the ChiComs), Kelly Loeffler (R) of Georgia and James Inhofe (R) of Oklahoma,  Republicans.
Naturally, they'll all lie about "blind trust" and "spouses".

Rope.  Tree.  CLAWBACKS.  Some assembly required.....

Thursday, March 19, 2020

Kung Flu NOT "Doom" Part Two

Stanford prof of medicine, biomedical data science, statistics, and epidemiology and population health......decidedly more qualifications than those of Tokin'Tony the Tavern-Closer:

...The woefully inadequate data we have so far, the meta-research specialist argues, indicates that the extreme measures taken by many countries are likely way out of line and may result in ultimately unnecessary and catastrophic consequences. Due to extremely limited testing, we are likely missing “the vast majority of infections” from COVID-19, he states, thus making reported fatality rates from the World Health Organization “meaningless.”

“Patients who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately those with severe symptoms and bad outcomes,” Ioannidis explains. With very limited testing in many health systems, he suggests, that “selection bias” may only get worse going forward.

Ioannidis then zooms in on the “one situation” where “an entire, closed population was tested”: the Diamond Princess cruise ship’s quarantined passengers. While the fatality rate was 1.0%, he points out, the population was largely elderly, the most at-risk demographic. Projected out onto the age structure of the U.S. population, he calculates, the death rate is more like 0.125%, with a range of 0.025% to 0.625% based on the sample size.....
Quoted at The Wire.  A link to his entire essay is found there.

Wednesday, March 18, 2020

CoV19 Numbers NOT "Doom"

Nobel winning chemist has observations.

...But as Levitt continued to process the numbers, the pattern changed. On February 1, when he first looked at the statistics, Hubei Province had 1,800 new cases a day. By February 6, that number had reached 4,700 new cases a day.

But on February 7, something changed. “The number of new infections started to drop linearly and did not stop,” Levitt said. “A week later, the same happened with the number of the deaths. This dramatic change in the curve marked the median point and enabled better prediction of when the pandemic will end. Based on that, I concluded that the situation in all of China will improve within two weeks. And, indeed, now there are very few new infection cases.”...

OK, so why is that?

...exponential models assume that people with the virus will continue to infect others at a steady rate. In the early phase of COVID-19, that rate was 2.2 people a day on average.

“In exponential growth models, you assume that new people can be infected every day, because you keep meeting new people,” Levitt said. “But, if you consider your own social circle, you basically meet the same people every day. You can meet new people on public transportation, for example; but even on the bus, after some time most passengers will either be infected or immune.”...

He also cites the Wuhan-Diamond Princess, in which only 20% of the passengers were infected; perhaps there is a natural immunity which is on our side, too.

Biden Wraps It Up

Bernie will continue his campaign (more money in the bank, eh??) but Biden has this in the bag.

It's possible that Biden will remember what country he's in, too.

McConnell: "Kill Small Business. I Don't Care"

The US Chamber of Commerce (read:  Big Business, Inc.) keeps McConnell as its bitch.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said Tuesday the upper chamber will pass the House's second coronavirus funding package without changes.

The decision comes despite some vocal GOP opposition to the measure over concerns about its impact on small businesses.

"With regard to the bill that came over from the House, there was some discussion about whether to amendment that with a bigger proposal, because we all know a bigger proposal is necessary. But I've decided we're going to go on and vote as soon as the Senate can get permission to vote on the bill that came over from the House, send it down to the president for signature," McConnell told reporters.

Asked about pushback from within his caucus, he added, “My counsel to them is to gag and vote for it anyway." ...
The press, busy lying about all things ChinaVirus, hasn't bothered to inform the public about provisions in the House bill which would kill small business--and/or if or how they've been modified.

What a SNAFU we have here.

Tuesday, March 17, 2020

OTHER WuFlu Numbers

Corey's Digs is a website with...........opinions and research.  Sometimes that research ventures into the Twilight Zone/tinfoil hat territory, sometimes not.

You've been warned.

Also note that the numbers here are published by Red China.  So they may be accurate, and they may not, emphasis on the 'not'.

In any case, they present a perspective not easily found midst the WooWooWooHooSkyFalls bunch.

...In Wuhan itself, the City of Doom, some 2,446 souls departed their fleshly existence earlier than expected. Google tells us the city has between 11 and 19 million, depending on whether you count the entire metro area as “the city”. 

The city had 49,995 cases. The case rate was 0.26% to 0.45%, depending on what China called “the city”. The total dead rate was 0.01% to 0.02%. The case dead rate was 4.9%. 

People fixate on that last number, forgetting you first have to get the bug before you can die from it. But everybody now seems to believe they’ll get it with certainty. Review Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus!...

There's more.

...Right across the Yangtze from Wuhan is a city named Huanggang, still in Hubei province. They had 2907 cases and 125 dead. Google says 7.5 million population. That’s a 0.039% case rate, and 0.0017% dead rate. And again a high 4.3% case dead rate.

Applying Huanggang to the world gives about 3 million cases and maybe 130,000 dead bodies....
Doesn't change my mind about being in large crowds (nope).  Doesn't change my mind about praying more.  But it DOES present an alternative Doom Scene.

Celebrate the Free Marketeers!!! /Sarc

The headline on this post is sarcastic, although it certainly would be seconded by such as the Acton Institute and the semi-brain-dead evangelists of Ricardo, Hayek, and Roepke--such as the ringding who wrote this essay.

...The Colvin brothers achieved national infamy on Saturday when the New York Times described their entrepreneurial spirit. They did what any good businessmen would: They bought low and sold high. What they bought and sold were face masks, anti-bacterial wipes, and hand sanitizer.

The story went viral, and the Tennessee Attorney General’s office announced that that it would investigate them for price gouging....
Yes, well.  The young Heroes of Economics bought 17,000+ bottles of sanitizer at normal retail prices ($4.00 or so) and was re-selling them at up to $60.00 each.

Here's where we have fun with the Ricardo/Hayek band of bumblers.

...What our would-be entrepreneur wanted to do is called arbitrage. Arbitrage moves goods from places where demand is low to places where it’s high....
Now recall your Ricardo.  He proposed that some countries are good at making wine, others are good at making cloth, so they should trade those goods, moving the goods to the demand.  Of course, Ricardo's Rule would also demand that one move the workers from one place to the other, exactly as described by our Economic Genius.

No sweat!!  Pack up your family in West Virginia or North Carolina and move them, bag, baggage, and chilluns, to Red China, or VietNam, or India.

The Colvins "argue" that since sanitizer is highly alcoholic, shipping is expensive.  That may be true, but gee......WalMart sells the stuff, including "expensive shipping" for $4.00, not $60.00.   Hmmmm.

Finally, our essayist dismisses 'moral' considerations, although he allows argument about them.  Gee, that's swell--but it is also the key to decoding some "economic theories"morals do NOT play a part.

That's worth remembering.

Fortunately, most Americans still have a good sense of morality.  For the time being, anyway.

Remedies? SARS, MERS, AIDS Drugs Seem to Work

Since the China Virus is a member of the SARS and MERS family, how about SARS and MERS treatments?

Good idea!!

Antivirals and other medicines created for past outbreaks like malaria, AIDS, and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) are being tested and showing early signs of success in treating the new coronavirus, experts say.

If the progress continues, medical experts in the United States could have a new regimen from drugs that are readily available and generally cheap to treat the most seriously infected patients and provide prophylactic protection for healthcare workers. ...
Also recall that liquor is a disinfectant.

Kurzarbeit!!

Carlson emits more common sense in this few minutes than does all of Congress in a year.

"Preventing virus" by making low-wage people into zero-wage people is ill-considered, if "considered" at all, and the Government Way of simply issuing more bonds and shoveling cash into the problem.......well...........

Those are the typical Inside the Beltway "solutions" which are proposed by typical Inside the Beltway bureaucrats, control freaks, and compulsive twitchers (a/k/a "Congressmen.)"

Tucker mentions the "I" word:  INFLATION.  He's not wrong, and it's a serious, possibly imminent, danger.

He also proposes a solution:  Kurzarbeit--which means "short hours", implemented in Germany during the last Big Recession.  Allow people to work "short" hours, thus earning a paycheck, but not the usual size, then also sending a bit of Gummint money to help.

Trump usually thinks outside the box.  Maybe he should ban all the DC hive-minds from his office and import heartland thinkers for a couple of weeks.