Wednesday, January 10, 2024

Lies, Damned Lies, and NOAA Statistics

You'll be hearing about "billion-dollar losses" attributed to "climate change."

Don't fall for it.

... a new study finds that NOAA’s methodology is lacking in scientific integrity and goes against the agency’s own standards. The study also explains that the trend in billion-dollar disasters is attributed to trends in climate, which is not a proper use of disaster loss figures.

The study’s author, Dr. Roger Pielke Jr., professor of environmental studies at the University of Colorado at Boulder, has done extensive research over nearly three decades into the trends of disaster costs over time, which show the trends are actually declining.

Pielke’s research normalizes the disaster costs, which means he adjusts for differences in wealth over time. Pielke explains why this is important in an article on his “The Honest Broker” Substack. If a category 3 hurricane hit Miami Beach in 1926, it would impact far less development than a storm of equal intensity hitting the beach today. Without controlling for these differences, Pielke writes, it’s impossible to reliably determine trends.

In a preprint released last week, Pielke evaluates the methods NOAA uses to calculate billion-dollar disasters. He finds that the data NOAA publishes lacks transparency that would allow the sources of the data to be verified. This doesn’t follow the agency’s own guidelines for scientific integrity, the study notes. Likewise, the cost figures are not normalized, which produces misleading results. The agency is also, according to the study, incorrectly attributing the trends to changes in climate over time....

NOAA has been a "climate OMG DISASTER" propaganda outlet for years.  It's another agency that should be zeroed out in the next Trump presidency.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

I remember back in the 1990s, I think, that NOAA, changed how they recorded ocean temperatures. I don’t remember just how but they stopped taking raw temperatures and instead ran then through an algorithm and voila, ocean temperatures were higher.