Saturday, February 03, 2007

Garbage In, Garbage Out: Fox6 "News" and UN Modeling "Warming"

Despite the efforts of Channel 6' "News" to declare that the End of the World is coming to Wisconsin (savannah, anyone? swim and fish in Canada, not Three Lakes? No more dairy cows? You'll DIE of breathing difficulties......)

It was a disgusting display of opinion, and they've run the damn thing TWICE in the last 3 weeks...

Well, as I began, despite their propaganda, a few interesting notes about the UN's Climate report from Random 10:

UN scientists faced several problems their computer models had not predicted [in previous reports]. Globally, temperature is not rising at all, and sea level is not rising anything like as fast as had been forecast. … The report’s generally more cautiously-expressed projections confirm scientists’ warnings that the UN’s heavy reliance on computer models had exaggerated the temperature effect of greenhouse-gas emissions.

Previous reports in 1990, 1995 and 2001 had been progressively more alarmist. In the final draft of the new report there is a change in tone. Though carbon dioxide in the air is increasing, global temperature is not.

Computer models heavily relied on by the UN did not predict the considerable cooling of the oceans that has occurred since 2003 – a cooling which demonstrates that neither the frequency nor the intensity of the hurricanes in the year of Katrina was attributable to “global warming”.

The UN’s models also failed to predict the halt to the rise in methane concentrations in the air that began in 2001. And they did not predict the timing or size of the El Nino which hiked temperature in 1998. Without it, the satellite record shows little or no greenhouse warming. Landbased temperature records may accordingly overstate the problem. Likewise the UN’s models have recently been found to have over-projected the observed rise in sea temperatures, which has had to be corrected downward to allow for over reading by incorrectly-calibrated instrumentation.

There's more at the link. Maybe the Fox6 "news team" should actually read the news...

The reliance on "computer models" is a serious flaw, because somebody programs the computers. And if that programmer writes assumptions, well, you know the old saying about "assume."

Looks like the old saying is true.

1 comment:

The Unseen One said...

They have correlation and causation backwards.