You've been warned.
Also note that the numbers here are published by Red China. So they may be accurate, and they may not, emphasis on the 'not'.
In any case, they present a perspective not easily found midst the WooWooWooHooSkyFalls bunch.
...In Wuhan itself, the City of Doom, some 2,446 souls departed their fleshly existence earlier than expected. Google tells us the city has between 11 and 19 million, depending on whether you count the entire metro area as “the city”.
The city had 49,995 cases. The case rate was 0.26% to 0.45%, depending on what China called “the city”. The total dead rate was 0.01% to 0.02%. The case dead rate was 4.9%.
People fixate on that last number, forgetting you first have to get the bug before you can die from it. But everybody now seems to believe they’ll get it with certainty. Review Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus!...
There's more.
...Right across the Yangtze from Wuhan is a city named Huanggang, still in Hubei province. They had 2907 cases and 125 dead. Google says 7.5 million population. That’s a 0.039% case rate, and 0.0017% dead rate. And again a high 4.3% case dead rate.Doesn't change my mind about being in large crowds (nope). Doesn't change my mind about praying more. But it DOES present an alternative Doom Scene.
Applying Huanggang to the world gives about 3 million cases and maybe 130,000 dead bodies....
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