Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Iran Invading Iraq?

Not likely.

Iranian Revolutionary Guard forces have been spotted by British troops crossing the border into southern Iraq, The Sun tabloid reported on Tuesday.

Britain's defence ministry would not confirm or deny the report, with a spokesman declining to comment on "intelligence matters".


Captain Ed comments:

If the Sun has it right, it would probably force Britain to stay in southern Iraq far past their announced withdrawal date. They would almost have to respond, given the criticism over the capture of their 15 sailors and Marines a few months ago, and that would require them not only to stay but to broaden their forces in the region first.

....

In reading the story, the issue becomes clear -- the Sun reported it. For those who don't know the British press, the Sun is a rough equivalent to the National Enquirer here in the US. They get some stories right, but far too often, they blow things out of proportion or just get entire stories completely wrong.

Iran would have to be completely m'shugah to invade Iraq at this time.

Anything's possible, of course. But waiting for confirmation is the better choice.

1 comment:

St. Jimbob of the Apokalypse said...

I thought that we're supposed to partner with regional governments to help Iraqi security [/sarcasm] Give some territory to Iran, some to Syria, and let the Kurds keep doing their own thing.

An Iranian invasion would give the Left the perfect pretext to throw their hands up and say "Can we retreat NOW?"

The U.N. Security Council would dither about long enough for Iran to establish some control and dig in, making U.N. intervention doubly unlikely.