Saturday, March 12, 2022

Invasion Progress?

This is the 'other side of the story'--differing in details and substance from what we've offered before.

Key Takeaways

 Russian operations around Kyiv remained largely stalled over the past 24 hours and Russian forces conducted another pause to resupply and refit frontline units.

Russian forces did not secure any new territory in northeastern Ukraine and may be redeploying forces attacking eastern Kyiv to defend against Ukrainian counterattacks in Sumy Oblast.

Russian forces remain pinned down attempting to reduce Mariupol by siege and bombardment.

Ukrainian forces halted Russian advances north and west from Crimea as Russian forces face growing supply and morale issues.

Russian aircraft likely conducted an attempted false-flag attack on Belarusian territory on March 11 in an effort to draw Belarus into the war.

The Kremlin announced plans to deploy foreign fighters, including up to 16,000 Syrian fighters, to Ukraine.

Putin reportedly fired several generals and arrested FSB intelligence officers in an internal purge.

Ukrainian forces killed the commander of Russia’s 29th Combined Arms Army. High casualties among Russian general officers indicate the poor quality of Russian command and control, requiring Russian generals to deploy forward and risk Ukrainian fire to command their forces.

Ukrainian air force and air defense operations continue to hinder Russian ground forces maneuver by likely limiting Russian close air support and exposing Russian mechanized forces to Ukrainian air and artillery attacks.




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