1918 and All That

Revolver publishes a mid-length essay which tells us that 1918's Spanish Flu pandemic was MUCH different from the Fauci-ChiCom flu of today--so don't let the foo-foo dust comparisons fool you.

Key grafs (the chart they refer to is at the link):

Does the chart allow us to infer “together we will save lives,” which was the op-ed’s primary argument? The chart above shows a weak correlative relationship between the time NPIs were in effect and total mortality. The Pearson coefficient reported on the chart is -0.39 for the relationship between the duration of NPIs and total mortality. It is generally accepted that an r co-efficient with an absolute value of less than 0.4 is considered a “low” or “weak” correlation between two variables. Table 1 in this article published on the NIH’s website makes this point. Related, the p-value of 0.005 on the chart means there is a 99.95% chance that the associations presented in the chart did not occur at random. Technically, that is “statistically significant,” but it is probative of an admittedly weak correlation.

What is more, we could not reproduce the Pearson correlation co-efficient shown in the study chart. Taking the data from Table 1 in the JAMA study, we ran the CORREL function in Microsoft Excel against the column titled “Total No. Days of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions” and the “Excess Deaths” column, the x and y axes in the chart, respectively. Our calculation revealed a weaker r co-efficient of -0.35. At the same time, we found that First Case Date, the date of the first reported Spanish Flu case in a city, had an r of -0.46 considered against overall mortality. In layman’s terms, this means, from the face of the data presented in the study itself, there was a greater comparative correlation between how early in 1918 the Spanish flu appeared in a city and overall mortality than there was for the duration of NPIs in that city.

NPI's = "Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions" which are masks, lock-downs, and 'social distance.'

The essay also demonstrates how CDC has changed its tune TWICE on 'pandemics and NPI' since only 15 years ago--hardly the 'dark ages' of the early 1900's.

The article also discusses Fauci's politically-driven flaccidity about AIDS.  We have no reason to believe that Fauci gave up politics for actual medicine.