On the whole, Trump's national strategy (yesterday's speech) was regarded as GREAT, except by the usual ninnies and nannies, mostly (D), some (R), peppered with a boatload of Communists.
But it may not work. Why not?
Lyman Stone, an economist at the U.S. Department of Agriculture, writes
at Medium about what he’s calling “the great baby bust of 2017.”
The latest official estimate—taken from two-year-old data—puts the U.S.
fertility rate at 1.84. In other words, the average American woman will
have just under two children in her lifetime. This is well below the
replacement rate, or the average number of children necessary to keep a
country’s population from declining....
Actually, it's worse.
...Using monthly birth data from 2016 and 2017, he suggests the birth rate
in America has plummeted to somewhere near 1.77 births on average. His
graph of American fertility since 2008 looks like a double diamond ski
slope.
Millennials—who right now are in their prime childbearing years—are the ones mainly driving this downhill trend....
Japan, Italy, and Germany will soon cease to exist as nations due to the No Baby problem. The USA will dodder along for longer, but only because of immigration, whether legal or not. Of course, immigration has problems, too, beginning with assimilation.
Ugh.
No comments:
Post a Comment