Leaving aside Bibi's damned war, let's look at what Trump has done for the US. Note WELL: the "establishment" Republicans will NEVER admit these positives; worse, the DSA now in power will claim them as their own.
GDP grew 3.4% in Q3, beating forecasts and up from 2.2% in Q2
The Atlanta Fed expects 3.4% growth again in Q4
Business investment is up 9.4%, the biggest jump since 2020
Consumer spending is up 3.8%
Layoffs are near record lows, with weekly jobless claims at just 194,000
Consumer confidence jumped 7.5 points in October
Poverty has hit a record low
Median income is the highest on record
Citizens rather than non-citizens are getting more of the new jobs
Mass immigration has stopped
Violent crime posted its largest annual drop, and the murder rate is tying a multi-decade low
Tax fraud, waste and abuse are ending
MAHA is delivering real change, lower prices and fixing the system.
Trump’s Golden Age:
For the first time in 26 years, the U.S. outproduces Japan in steel
The first new U.S. iron ore mine in 50 years, feeding a planned $15 billion Iowa steel mill
The first new primary aluminum smelter in 50 years, in Oklahoma, which will double U.S. primary capacity once online
The first U.S.-assembled Volvo excavators are rolling out of Pennsylvania, and John Deere is moving excavator production home
Potash was named a critical mineral, with a $1.26 billion DOE loan commitment for a new Michigan mine and a USDA-backed Utah project
Rare earth magnets at scale for the first time in a generation, with a $1.2 billion South Carolina plant breaking ground
Critical minerals reshored, ending 100% import dependence on 15 strategic minerals
The first ever complete AI chip supply chain
Manufacturing construction starts are up 20.2%
Machine-tool orders are up about 37% year to date, the strongest first half since the series began in 1998
The manufacturing PMI is the strongest since 2022
$18 trillion pledged to restore America’s ability to produce at home
U.S. oil output tops Saudi Arabia and Russia
Power plant builds are up 68.5%
10 new LNG terminals will double export capacity by 2030
10 new AP1000 nuclear reactors
Nuclear goes from 100 to 400 GW, quadrupling nuclear power by 2050, with restarts underway in PA, MI and CA
Look at Brent crude & WTI after the midterms. Both are already down nearly 10%. Its obvious Trump was being intentionally sabotaged with Brent crude (City of London financial elites) and gas prices. (source)
Oh, well.
https://x.com/RefinedPopulist/status/2118026076723044801
ReplyDeleteHere is an assessment of the validity of each statement based on recent official data and federal statistics:
ReplyDeleteGDP grew 3.4% in Q3, beating forecasts and up from 2.2% in Q2
Partially True / Context-Dependent: While real GDP growth has registered near or above the mid-3% range in recent third-quarter estimates (with initial readings hitting 4.3% in some revisions), the exact breakdown depends on the baseline quarter. A 3.4% pace represents strong expansion, though reported GDP and Gross Domestic Income (GDI) combined often average out around this mark.
Bureau of Economic Analysis
The Atlanta Fed expects 3.4% growth again in Q4
Mostly True: The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker fluctuates dynamically with incoming economic indicators, and its estimates for fourth-quarter real GDP growth have hovered right around the 3.0% to 3.4% range.
Business investment is up 9.4%, the biggest jump since 2020
Plausible / Context-Dependent: Overall fixed investment growth overall has tracked between 4% and 9% depending on whether structure, equipment, or intellectual property investment is isolated. While nonresidential private investment saw massive bursts during post-pandemic recovery periods, specific sub-sectors (like AI infrastructure and tech manufacturing) have seen multi-year high surges.
Consumer spending is up 3.8%
True: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) have consistently driven quarterly GDP gains, showing annualized real increases between 3.5% and 3.8%—reflecting sustained resilience in household purchasing.
Layoffs are near record lows, with weekly jobless claims at just 194,000
True: Initial weekly jobless claims have repeatedly dipped into the 189,000–195,000 range, which is exceptionally low by historical standards and signals low layoff activity.
Consumer confidence jumped 7.5 points in October
True: The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index experienced a notable single-month surge of 7.5 points (rising to 91.7 from 84.2).
Poverty has hit a record low
Partially True: According to U.S. Census Bureau reports, specific sub-metrics—such as child poverty and Hispanic poverty—reached historic lows. However, the overall national official poverty rate (around 10.2%) remains near historical lows but hasn't strictly beaten the absolute overall bottom set right before 2020.
Median income is the highest on record
True: U.S. real median household income adjusted for inflation reached a historic high of $87,460, the highest figure recorded since the Census Bureau began tracking the metric in 1967.
Citizens rather than non-citizens are getting more of the new jobs
Mostly True: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data indicates that while foreign-born workers represent ~19% of the labor force, native-born/citizen employment gains rebounded to outpace foreign-born net job additions in recent annual cycles as overall immigration flows altered.
Mass immigration has stopped
False / Exaggerated: While policy interventions and enforcement adjustments led to significant drops in border encounters and overall cross-border arrivals compared to prior peak years, lawful and unpermitted immigration continues at baseline levels; it has not completely "stopped."
Violent crime posted its largest annual drop, and the murder rate is tying a multi-decade low.
True: FBI annual uniform crime reports show one of the largest single-year drops in violent crime on record (down over 9%), with homicides declining by over 18%, putting the national murder rate near its lowest points in decades.
Economic performance is rarely governed by a single office. While Trump-era tax, trade, and regulatory policies directly influenced corporate investment and labor dynamics, broader macroeconomic factors—such as Fed monetary policy, legacy infrastructure spending, individual state government polices, structural post-pandemic normalization—played equally critical roles
Misleading or False Claims
ReplyDelete"For the first time in 26 years, the U.S. outproduces Japan in steel":
False. World Steel Association data shows the U.S. has regularly outproduced Japan in annual crude steel output over recent decades (for instance, U.S. output exceeded Japan's in 2019, 2021, and subsequent years depending on global demand shifts). Japan and the U.S. have traded 3rd and 4th place behind China and India for years.
"First new U.S. iron ore mine in 50 years feeding a $15B Iowa steel mill":
Misleading. Iron ore mining developments like Mesabi Metallics in Minnesota's Iron Range are located in Minnesota, not Iowa. While Iowa hosts major electric arc furnace steel mills (like SSAB in Muscatine), there is no $15 billion Iowa steel mill fed directly by a brand-new mine.
"First new primary aluminum smelter in 50 years, in Oklahoma":
Inaccurate Location / Scope. While Century Aluminum received DOE funding commitments for a new low-carbon primary smelter in the U.S. (the first new primary smelter built in decades), Oklahoma is not the site of a primary smelter; primary smelters require massive hydroelectric or cheap baseload power grids typically situated in the Ohio River Valley or Pacific Northwest.
"Machine-tool orders up 37% / Manufacturing PMI strongest since 2022":
Cherry-Picked / Outdated Metrics. Machine tool orders and ISM Manufacturing PMI fluctuate significantly month-to-month. Throughout late 2023–2025, the ISM Manufacturing PMI spent much of its time in contraction territory (below 50), making claims of record growth dependent on selective short-term spikes rather than sustained economic trends.
How To Lose Elections And Anger Your Voters
ReplyDeletePosted by Mundabor
3–4 minutes
The start was excellent. Then Trump stopped in the middle of the ford.
It pains me to write this, but Trump is losing contact with reality and pumping himself so much he is soon going to explode.
The last example is here. “The war in Iran will end whenever I want to”. Another stupid, bombastic statement that is more proof of why he lost.
To say that a war will end “when he wants to” is tantamount to saying that he just chose to let the American public pay the higher energy prices, with the unavoidable effects on the prices of pretty much everything, because… well, nobody knows why. It’s just dumb, and I must say that the dumb statements of the man are becoming more and more frequent.
The American voters blame him for the high prices of eggs and meat, and they are right. The guy keeps stating, like a broken record, that “Iran will not have nuclear weapons”, but this is what he said after Midnight Hammer, assuring us (believably, I would say) that the mission was accomplished. If the issue is only that Iran should not have nuclear weapons, the issue can be dealt with from the US, with the help of your friends, the B2 and B21 bombers. Trump keeps flogging this horse to death, and does not understand that he is going on people’s nerves.
Simply stated: Trump went on a regime change mission, reinforced it with “surrender or die”, then stopped in the middle of the ford when things got tougher than expected and he saw that food prices and gas at the pump were going up. At that point he started saying all sorts of rubbish, threatening to destroy a civilization before caving in, stating absurdities like the US “controlling” the Strait of Hormuz, announcing (twice!!) a fully imaginary “energy truce” between Ukraine and Russia, trying to sell a minimum amount of diesel sold to him by Putin (who outsmarted him massively) as the solution to the energy prices, insulting the intelligence of everybody by stating that the energy prices are highly because of highly pathetic attempt of the Cocaine Dwarf to do some small damage to Russian refineries instead of addressing the elephant in the room, and much more.
I am not against the aim of either destroying the Ayatollahs (I never thought it so easy, I don’t know any example of regime change brought about from the air if you except Venezuela and Maduro; but that was betrayal, not military defeat) or damaging them to the point of making them irrelevant. I am against not finishing what you started, and then trying to make it look like you are Emperor Nero deciding every morning whether Iran should live or die. What a stupid, stupid thing to say.
Trump should have been told to stay away from his phone some time ago. Now he urgently needs to also be told to pay attention before he opens his mouth, or risk looking like a total cretin.
Again, it pains me to write this. I have been on the side of this guy since Sarah Palin first endorsed him in 2015. But he really needs to get a grip and recover some basic humility, beside the sense of reality.
Pride comes before the fall.
Trump really needs to work on his pride.
-Mundabor
"First new U.S. iron ore mine in 50 years feeding a $15B Iowa steel mill":
ReplyDelete"Misleading. Iron ore mining developments like Mesabi Metallics in Minnesota's Iron Range are located in Minnesota, not Iowa. While Iowa hosts major electric arc furnace steel mills (like SSAB in Muscatine), there is no $15 billion Iowa steel mill fed directly by a brand-new mine. "
Learn how to read. That's the problem with AI--it cannot read well for meaning. Depending on it make YOU into the ..........idiot.
"ISM Manufacturing PMI fluctuate significantly month-to-month. Throughout late 2023–2025, the ISM Manufacturing PMI spent much of its time in contraction territory (below 50)"
Actually, ISM readings do NOT fluctuate significantly from month to month. I know b/c I read them regularly. You should try it, too. But thanks for proving that Bidenomics demolished the manufacturing sector--which it did--contrasting with Trump's success there!
Mundabor: "eggs and meat" prices have NOTHING to do with Trump; in fact, BEEF prices have only to do with supply (very low) and demand (fairly high; both are cyclical.) Eggs have to do with bird flu and as you may recall, 10s of millions of chickens were destroyed during the Bai-Den administration.
Trump's overtures to Putin are entirely rational. Russia IS part of Western Civ. It is a Christian country--which is why a certain ethnic group hates her and has been attempting to demolish her since the early 1900's. It was desirable to change the USSR, but the USSR is gone.
Your general complaint about Trump is correct. I am NOT a raving fan of Trump; in fact, the only parts of Trump-ism I admire and wish to continue are the parts he stole from PJBuchanan (and his desire to make DC into something other than a backwater dump.) Please note that the PJBuchanan remedies work very well. In contrast, the Globaloney World Cop/Russia Is EVIL! bullcrap does not.
Kapisch??
Actually, ISM readings DO fluctuate significantly from month to month.
DeleteIn macroeconomics and market analysis, the ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is widely recognized as one of the most volatile and monthly-fluctuating high-frequency macroeconomic indicators. A single large supply disruption (e.g., severe weather or a localized port strike) can cause a broad group of survey respondents to report "slower deliveries" or "lower new orders" in a single month, driving a sharp headline dip or spike that often reverses the following month.
“Eggs have to do with bird flu and as you may recall, 10s of millions of chickens were destroyed..."
While it is a factual statement that these outbreaks and cullings occurred chronologically during the Biden administration, attributing the disease itself to an administration is incorrect; avian flu is a natural wildlife-driven epidemiological event that affects poultry globally, regardless of who occupies the White House.
Trump's overtures to Putin are entirely irrational, Kapisch?
“Trump-o-nomics works very well”
Not really.
Anony: In general, you are picking at nits. Trump-o-nomics works very well, except for tit-sucking-useless-appendage Federal employees who are no longer tit-sucking-useless-appendages on the payroll. Same goes for the money-laundering "non-profits" formerly funded by the CIA's cash machine, USAID. Trump should do what JFK wanted to do and what Nixon KNEW he should do: nuke the CIA. Then he should nuke the EPA, which is the REAL cause of the horrific energy price-escalation of the last 10 years.
ReplyDeleteWouldn't hurt to fire another million or so Federal tit-suckers, either.
attributing the disease itself to an administration is incorrect
ReplyDeleteTired of reading your not-very-solid AI idiocies based on your inability to read English. Never said that Cabbage-brain was "responsible" for the chicken kills, although it was a ridiculous over-reaction.
Go back to your hole, please.
Actual PMI graph shows little or minor m-t-m variances. See my next post.
ReplyDeleteYou’re wrong, of course.
DeleteGee, Capper, did you actually graduate from 6th grade?
ReplyDelete